If you read this, another geopolitical event has triggered fears in financial markets. In this note, I provide a simple checklist to help investors make sense of the events from a fundamental perspective. Based on the evidence from dozens of empirical studies I provide a list of questions to answer and how to position portfolios in reaction to these answers.
In terms of geopolitics that (ever so slightly) intersect with investment themes, I like Peter Zeihan. I think he has a firm grasp of demographics and petropolitics, even though his bias is clearly pro-USA and anti-China.
So you were the author of the CFA publication on Geoeconomics that I read 3 years ago! I didn't realize that I had read (and agreed) with your views before. Interesting how we read material and then forget the name of the author or where we read it.
Thanks for such a compact and cogent summary of what happens in major equity markets after notable geopolitical events . I happen to collect data about their impact on the S&P500, and here are two links with specific tables:
and as AI was largely responsible for the uptrend, I would now argue that if China went after Taiwan, things would not calm down so quickly...and many would buy into the falling knife....
Zero damage from the attack.
Just read on the press
Excellent advice.
Buy when the cannons are firing. 'Nuff said.
In terms of geopolitics that (ever so slightly) intersect with investment themes, I like Peter Zeihan. I think he has a firm grasp of demographics and petropolitics, even though his bias is clearly pro-USA and anti-China.
So you were the author of the CFA publication on Geoeconomics that I read 3 years ago! I didn't realize that I had read (and agreed) with your views before. Interesting how we read material and then forget the name of the author or where we read it.
Thank you for this lucid article - chock full of common sense and practical strategy.
Thanks for such a compact and cogent summary of what happens in major equity markets after notable geopolitical events . I happen to collect data about their impact on the S&P500, and here are two links with specific tables:
https://news.yahoo.com/russia-ukraine-crisis-what-happens-to-the-stock-market-amid-geopolitical-shocks-175610742.html
https://www.reuters.com/markets/asia/live-markets-what-history-says-about-geopolitics-market-2022-02-18/
and as AI was largely responsible for the uptrend, I would now argue that if China went after Taiwan, things would not calm down so quickly...and many would buy into the falling knife....