Over the past week, Chinese military aircraft have entered Taiwan’s defence airspace (which is not the same as its national airspace, by the way) no less than four times. Some aeroplanes even exited Taiwan’s defence airspace along the Bahi Channel which is of extreme geopolitical importance. The Bashi Channel connects the Pacific with the South China Sea and is the main shipping route for cargo ships between East Asia and the West Coast of the United States as well as the location of several main undersea cables that are the foundation of global communication systems.
The economics and logistics of conflicts are often downplayed in their analysis. James Holland’s excellent books on the war on the western front 1939-45 look at the impact these factors had as well as the usual political and military analysis. It throws a different light on how one views outcomes.
Did Putin "miscalculate" when he tested U.S. resolve to defend Ukraine? Turns out the Budapest Memorandum was "non-binding." I fear that you are right and the Taiwan Relations Act will be similarly tested.
The economics and logistics of conflicts are often downplayed in their analysis. James Holland’s excellent books on the war on the western front 1939-45 look at the impact these factors had as well as the usual political and military analysis. It throws a different light on how one views outcomes.
Did Putin "miscalculate" when he tested U.S. resolve to defend Ukraine? Turns out the Budapest Memorandum was "non-binding." I fear that you are right and the Taiwan Relations Act will be similarly tested.