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Perfect summary of the position. As a buy curious sell side analyst, I’ve long measured my recommendations in terms of performance rather than hit ratio. It makes you think differently about your ideas. Not all ideas are equal. Performance of ideas, it turns out, is not enough. You also need to allocate notional capital to them based on conviction, and then evaluate your portfolio performance. If you’d done that, I bet your 2013 would feel less awful. Sadly, to my ever deepening frustration, no one on the sell side cares about performance.

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I love the phrase “buy curious”. And yes I forgot about capital allocation, which in my mind is part of the performance measurement process. And finally, to clarify, in 2013 I was in the buu side and managed multi-asset portfolios. My Annus Horribilis led to people losing money…

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I’ve tried losing money. It’s no fun! Thanks for the reply!

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As a buy-side pm of 35 years, I’ve always wondered why sell-side analysts don’t develop a uniform metric for reporting the performance of their recommendations, like GIPS on the buy-side. Pre-GIPS the buy-side suffered from the same cherry-picking problems.

The first-mover problems are significant, but surely it would be in the sell-side’s collective interest to develop a set of standards and uniform comparison?

Keep up the good work!

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