Sitemap - 2024 - Klement on Investing

Christmas Edition: Ahhhh! A Christmas tree!

Did the Fed engineer a soft landing?

Stars are treated differently

Corporate culture starts at the top

I hate SUVs and pickup trucks

European equities won’t provide safety if US bubble bursts

Factors come and go…

How big is the equity risk premium?

Why retail traders underperform

Corporate culture is a real (though intangible) asset

Great, now the machines start to understand me

Boy those retail traders are lucrative

Past performance is indicative of future results

Five books that impressed me this year

It’s cheaper being green

Should Disney be in charge of large infrastructure projects?

Fast growers are common, fast compounders are rare

What makes a market ‘look risky’?

Want to know if a fund manager is skilled? Watch the tough days in the market

Do we really need cleaner air?

Achoo

The rise of Ponzi ETF

Why have economies become less dependent on labour?

ChatGPT can predict analyst forecast changes

The most sophisticated test of ESG fund performance, yet

Our friends shape our memory

Fees matter, frequent fees matter more

US debt is risky: A rant about evidence-based investing

Hedging hedge funds have higher (h)returns

The new divestment trend

Smart people cooperate

How long? How variable?

No, higher corporate taxes do not reduce profits

Remember, remember…

European bond yields may keep rising

Energising energy producers

A dick move

Where is peak ETF?

Can demographics undermine Europe’s dominance in global trade?

Regulation as a driver of investment risk

The growing partisan divide in US investor portfolios

Do you spend a lot of time gaming? You are probably ugly.

Geopolitics is permanently changing trade flows

Fooled by randomness

The curious case of cross-country factor momentum

Chernobyl killed 4 million people

Victims of the stock market

A complicated way to do something very simple

Reuters opinion: ECB and Fed may struggle to solve debt riddle

Who becomes an entrepreneur – and when?

Analysts should pay more attention to macro forecasts

Why do we deal with climate change so poorly?

Learning by doing time

Have we slayed the inflation dragon?

Three key factors that drive management quality

Another reason to like infrastructure investments

Southeast Asia as the new ESG investment hub

Can AI make us more honest?

Generative AI gets adopted really fast

Good management is universal, so why does practice differ so much?

Even the enemies of the US hold dollar reserves

An interesting indication of an ESG bubble before the inflation shock

Be glad I am not running a company

Germany: The (chronically?) sick man of Europe

Productivity and the quality of management

Technology does not make squirrels less important

I think this app has unintended consequences

The IRR of going to university

Fiscal stability and geopolitical risk

Sometimes, you have to wonder if they know what they are doing

When cable news drives market volatility

It’s getting wet out there

Flipping a coin is… not like flipping a coin

When brokers go under, every investor loses

What we see when we look at price charts

What happens if you measure hedge fund returns properly?

Extreme heat and inflation

Making HK$138,000 in a museum gift shop

Who sells to index trackers?

In the end, it all boils down to sentiment

The butterfly effect, index funds, and the rise of mega caps

The demand for sustainable investments remains strong

The C.R.A.P. framework for dealing with bullshit

Monetarism is wrong everywhere

ESG engagement actively reduces downside risks

Good old times

The sorry state of retail investor portfolios

All hail the technocrats

The skills gap hitting the US

Is UK productivity low because of poor governance?

Is memory improving in old age?

Voting machines vs. weighing machines

Why did the US land softly but not Europe or the UK?

YOLO so let’s NGDPLT

It’s bad for ya!

Americans are bad at sports

Debt debilitates

A simple, yet powerful way to use ChatGPT to analyse earnings calls

Businesses don’t care about their employees. Discuss

Have we gone too far (offshore)?

Going to bed with the mafia

You cannot cut your way to profitability

Germans are bad at investing

The cost of war

Persistent, but not permanent

I would never help make social media a worse place than it already is

The costs of a proper trade war with China

Can we please stop selling these products

I hope this AI thing works out: Part 2

Why companies should welcome activist hedge funds

Japanese soft power

I hope this AI thing works out

The impact of future deficits on US Treasuries

The superior returns of cyclical stocks

Does AI hire more women?

Surely, we have reached peak AI now…

How should we deal with China’s industrial policy?

A one-factor model to explain asset returns

Beware of companies moving targets

Is the carbon premium real?

Another exercise in stating the blindingly obvious

Why the long face?

Buyback talk is cheap

The many reasons for our declining productivity

How realistic are the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways?

The Euro 2024 starts today

AI gets the ice bucket challenge

The potential spillovers of the upcoming Fed decision

Active managers get competition from AI

Good stories lead to bubbles, and ESG is a good story

Mercury retrograde – again

Filling the basket

The true return on private debt

Those motherf…

Pay transparency done right (and wrong)

Do mothers-in-law matter?

Cut it out

Is the short-term reversal effect dead, or just not salient anymore?

The one-eyed among the blind and the seeing

Because I’m worth it. Really?

More than words

The trust equation

When private companies are less productive than government contractors

Running away from their responsibilities

To have a blockbuster, appeal to values

The rise of shadow banking in two key charts

In theory, trade wars are easy…

Bang for your buck in private capital markets

Normalisation of deviance

You’re going to miss me when I am gone

And the winner was…

Public finances are like stocks

Exorbitant privilege or why the UK cannot do what the US does

Evidence-based happiness

The next time you complain about your taxes do this first

Leaking like a sieve

Don’t tell me how I am doing

Tax havens…

Invest in a company that cannot go bankrupt

Investment consultants re-arranging deck chairs

How retail ETF investors screw themselves

Reshoring leads to more global trade

The dollar is strong…

Do ESG fund managers have ESG skill?

London’s skyline is weird

Keeping up or hanging out with the Joneses

Wading into a political minefield

Financial statements we should pay more attention to

What happens when you divest from BP and Shell?

Armed conflict investor survival guide

The French and their wives

When tax cuts lead to higher tax rates

When worrying about inflation becomes your identity

The (declining) benefits of macro hedge funds

European companies are finally buying back their shares

The geopolitics of the energy transition: Are fossil fuels more secure?

What a difference a tree makes

What the Germans think about their debt brake

The foolishness of effective altruism

My latest article on Marketwatch

The shocking consequences of living in the here and now

The roots of deglobalisation

What if it never happened?

The Trading Game

Want to know which stocks I like?

Pricing climate risk

Framing matters: Inequality edition

Memories of (dis)inflation

Is the Fed losing its independence?

Persistence > performance

Home bias everywhere

A waste of time and money

Why quality stocks perform so well

Japan is the playbook, not the exception

This is not what I normally do here…

Increasing collective intelligence

Hay fever, the deadly allergy

You hit my soft spot…

Retail investors and earnings surprises

The very real effects of consumers’ hopes

Housing affordability around the globe and what really helps

Teams are more than just a collection of the best talent

Mostly useless

Post-earnings announcement drift is not just for equities

Stocks (and bonds) for the long run: Part 3

Narcissists vs. pushovers

Fighting corruption in Africa, one US law at a time

A Protestant retirement ethic?

A historic moment

Reducing the factor zoo for bonds

Stocks (and bonds) for the long run: Part 2

Now that rates start to fall again…

Improving valuations through better governance

Prisoners of our genes or masters of our destiny?

Which economic surprises matter?

Stocks (and bonds) for the long run: Part 1

Free money, who doesn't like free money?

Managing private equity portfolios

Sustainability helps you reduce costs

Want to be a great fund manager? Don’t study finance

What happens if China sneezes?

The investor experience with thematic funds

How many factors do you really need?

The rise of ESG investing among (wealthy) retail investors

Facial Plastic Surgery Alert

Fiscal rules are good rules

What’s the right level of inflation?

The Fed may extend the life of zombies

Stability seems to be key

I want to shoot the whole day down

Should we prefer bonds over stocks?

When optimism becomes a dirty word

Your network matters, but not always to your benefit

I think I’ll never get back on the good side of MSCI ESG…

Victor Wembanyama may not reach the peak of his abilities at San Antonio

Rate hikes and the damage to our national productivity

From cynical bubbles to cynical liquidity

Riding the wave, cynically

The quantification of ESG investing

Why do we hate creativity?

The lasting effects of the current inflation

Geopolitical decoupling and commodity prices

From oil price speculation to higher inflation?

The backlash against ESG investing seems to go nowhere

Understanding human stupidity in a post-truth era

Only academics believe in efficient markets

Oh those share price forecasts

Podcasts to help you make sense of 2024

It's 2024 and life is still messy